Likelihood-Free Inference by Ratio Estimation

نویسندگان

چکیده

We consider the problem of parametric statistical inference when likelihood computations are prohibitively expensive but sampling from model is possible. Several so-called likelihood-free methods have been developed to perform in absence a function. The popular synthetic approach infers parameters by modelling summary statistics data Gaussian probability distribution. In another called approximate Bayesian computation, performed identifying parameter values for which simulated close those observed data. Synthetic easier use as no measure “closeness” required Gaussianity assumption often limiting. Moreover, both approaches require judiciously chosen statistics. here present an alternative that easy not restricted its assumptions, and that, natural way, enables automatic selection relevant statistic large set candidates. basic idea frame estimating posterior ratio between generating distribution marginal This can be solved logistic regression, including regularising penalty terms task. illustrate general theory on canonical examples employ it challenging stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems high-dimensional

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Bayesian Analysis

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1936-0975', '1931-6690']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1214/20-ba1238